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“The rollout of the regulation was super positive,” Rossi says. “I believe that the Peruvian regulation is one of the best regulations in Latin America. [It’s] flexible, modern, business-friendly. The regulator has demonstrated a commitment to creating a safe and transparent market environment, and there’s a great relationship between the regulator and the operators.”

Escobar sees Peru’s relatively nascent regulated market as an increasingly attractive proposition for operators, pointing to strong player engagement and digital adoption.

“Considering that the regulated market has only been in place for just over two years, its implementation has been very positive,” she declares.

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But in the UK Entain’s share price weakness is less about prediction markets and more about tax, debt and confidence.

The company reported approximately £3.6 billion of net debt at the end of June, with reported leverage of 3.1x underlying EBITDA. Online underlying EBITDA fell 5% in the first half despite 7% growth in online net gaming revenue. The tax impact has been substantial.

The UK government increased Remote Gaming Duty (RGD) from 21% to 40% from 1 April. Then from April 2027, a new 25% General Betting Duty rate for remote betting will apply, although remote bets on UK horse racing are excluded from the new rate.

About Christmas Big Bass Bonanza

Top non-lottery activities during the period included scratchcards (13%), betting (10%) and online instant win games (8%). 

Betting skewed male, with 16% of men gambling on betting compared to 4% of women. Age-wise, overall gambling participation peaked among 45- to 64-year-olds (56%-59%), when excluding lotteries the highest participation was among 35- to 44-year-olds (35%). 

Respondents cited motivations predominantly as seeking large winnings and entertainment, while 42% reported positive feelings about their most recent gambling expenditure.